Point of view Quote by Nate Silver

“Relying on predictions alone is dangerous.”

— Roger Spitz

Predictions are preposterous. What usually happens is that people tell you that what they'd like to see happen instead of what they really think…

— Jackie Mason

Prediction can never be absolutely valid and therefore science can never prove some generalization or even test a single descriptive statement and in that…

— Gregory Bateson

“people often make correct predictions on the basis of erroneous beliefs and defective prediction strategies.”

— Lee Ross

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

— Nate Silver

“most importantly, this prediction is less of a prophecy and more a way of discussing our present choices. If the discussion makes us choose…

— Yuval Noah Harari

“All predictions are wrong, that's one of the few certainties granted to mankind.”

— Milan Kundera

“Predictions are just good guesses or stories for the gullible.”

— Wynne Channing

One of the things that I think we have learned is that we should all be very careful about making predictions about the future.

— William J. Clinton

“Predictions are but guesses - when they come true, they are prophecies; when they don't, we salvage the situation by calling them allegories.”

— Mike Klepper

Prediction is difficult- particularly when it involves the future.

— Mark Twain

So you see, in the end, it is nearly certain that the power of prediction must triumph over the arrogance of elegance.

— Robert Haugen