Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“What makes him successful is the way that he analyzes information. He is not just hunting for patterns. Instead, Bob combines his… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image