Nate Silver

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the…

— Nate Silver

Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.

— Nate Silver

“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in…

— Nate Silver

I have the same friends and the same bad habits.

— Nate Silver

I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.

— Nate Silver

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

— Nate Silver

I don't think you should limit what you read.

— Nate Silver

“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time…

— Nate Silver

In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.

— Nate Silver

Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office.

— Nate Silver

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

— Nate Silver

To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'

— Nate Silver

“Most of you will have heard the maxim "correlation does not imply causation." Just because two variables have a statistical relationship with…

— Nate Silver

Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you…

— Nate Silver

You get steely nerves playing poker.

— Nate Silver

“Thus, you will see apparently serious papers published on how toads can predict earthquakes,50 or how big-box stores like Target beget racial…

— Nate Silver

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between…

— Nate Silver

A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that…

— Nate Silver

I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

— Nate Silver

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight,

— Nate Silver

Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in…

— Nate Silver

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

— Nate Silver

“He does not depend on insider tips, crooked referees, or other sorts of hustles to make his bets. Nor does he have…

— Nate Silver

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

— Nate Silver

I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll…

— Nate Silver