Accurate Quote by Nate Silver Download Open image “Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.” — Nate Silver ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 3.6 out of 5 (4 ratings) Copy quoteShare Accurate Forecasts Masquerade Precise
“Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones, and some of us get fooled and double-down our bets.” — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“Once in a while, however, the future turns out to be very different from the past. It’s at these times that accurate forecasts would… — Howard Marks Copy Share Image
Any thinking person is qualified to be a forecaster, and in fact, everybody does it every day. — Paul Saffo Copy Share Image
The most reliable way to forecast the future is to try to understand the present. — John Naisbitt Copy Share Image
Forecasts usually tell us more of the forecaster than of the forecast — Warren Buffett Copy Share Image
We really can't forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can't. — Alan Greenspan Copy Share Image
“forecast key events, but it’s unlikely to be the same people consistently. The sum of this discussion suggests that, on balance, forecasts are of… — Howard Marks Copy Share Image
When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen — Bob Farrell Copy Share Image
“You will need to learn how to express-and quantify-the uncertainty in your predictions. You will need to update your forecast as facts and circumstances… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I'm an economist, I do a lot of forecasting, and I'm probably one of the most successful forecasters in terms of very specific kinds… — Lyndon LaRouche Copy Share Image
The general public still expects a lot more forecasting accuracy than any of us can deliver. — Edgar Fiedler Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The surprise of an army is now next to an impossibility. ... Prearranged surprises are rare and difficult because in order to plan one… — Antoine-Henri Jomini Copy Share Image
In essence, I see the value of journalism as resting in a twofold mission: informing the public of accurate and vital information, and its… — Glenn Greenwald Copy Share Image
I never think of things rationally or intellectually. I swear, every single decision I make is just instinct and my instincts tend to be… — Neill Blomkamp Copy Share Image
No accurate thinker will judge another person by that which the other person's enemies say about him. — Napoleon Hill Copy Share Image
The Bell curve is a fact of life. The blacks on average score 85 per cent on IQ and it is accurate, nothing to… — Lee Kuan Yew Copy Share Image
A film is a chain of very difficult decisions, and I think one of them is to choose an accurate cast. — Javier Camara Copy Share Image
“Madoc makes a snorting sound, then turns to me. 'I am sure that Wren here wouldn't mind taking Lady Nore's castle and lands for… — Holly Black Copy Share Image
He [Groucho's father] had absolutely no training, and if you had ever seen one of his suits, you'd realize what an accurate statement that… — Groucho Marx Copy Share Image
... the attempt to render visual intricacy makes words feel unwieldy, like sacks of meaning that must be lugged into place, dragged here and… — Mark Doty Copy Share Image
Not forgiving prolongs hurt and anger and leads to smoldering resentment, which will make us miserable until it kills us. Resentment destroys the perception… — Richard Walters Copy Share Image
Selfish hedonism is not a pejorative. It is a description - an exactly accurate description of what is involved in homosexual relations. — Alan Keyes Copy Share Image
The western mantra is that Israel seeks negotiations without preconditions, while the Palestinians refuse. The opposite is more accurate. — Noam Chomsky Copy Share Image
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