“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
