Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
