Cold Quote by Nate Silver Download Open image “Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.” — Nate Silver ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 2.3 out of 5 (4 ratings) Copy quoteShare Cold Hot Instinct Overconfident Streaks Too much Way
Well, I think we tried very hard not to be overconfident, because when you get overconfident, that's when something snaps up and bites you. — Neil Armstrong Copy Share Image
I don't think there is a thing like overconfidence in chess. It's always better to be too confident than too reluctant. — Magnus Carlsen Copy Share Image
I do not think that I am ever overconfident. I am merely wholly confident, and I maintain that there is all the difference in… — Edgar Rice Burroughs Copy Share Image
Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
There's nothing more annoying than cold logic and reason when you've got a good fit going. — James Patterson Copy Share Image
Co-dependence...taking someone else's temperature to see how you feel. — Linda Ellerbee Copy Share Image
“We will call something “tempting” if we consume more of it when hot than when cold. None of this means that decisions made in… — Richard H. Thaler Copy Share Image
There's always time to read. Don't trust a writer who doesn't read. It's like eating food prepared by a cook who doesn't eat. — Laura Lippman Copy Share Image
If one comes across sometimes as being cold or brusque, it's simply because I'm striving for the best. — Anna Wintour Copy Share Image
I'm so much better off when I trust my instincts. But they're not perfect. — Phil Hellmuth Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Once ye made up yer mind to do somethin', 'tis better t'stumble o'er the small hillock of jump-ahead than t'bash yer head on the… — Karen Hawkins Copy Share Image
When you're scared - and I mean really scared, not just hearing a noise in the night, or standing toe to toe with someone… — Alexander Gordon Smith Copy Share Image
From the bitter cold winter at Valley Forge, to the mountains of Afghanistan and the deserts of Iraq, our soldiers have courageously answered when… — Solomon Ortiz Copy Share Image
When I get a chance to play golf or go on a boat with good people, take the boat out and put some lobsters… — Bernie Mac Copy Share Image
Of course Messi could handle a cold Tuesday night in Stoke. He'd be drinking tea and relaxing beforehand. Me? I'd probably be the same. — Neymar Copy Share Image
This cold weather has set all the young Folks to providing Bedfellows. I have signed two or three Licences every Day [as a Fairfax… — George Mason Copy Share Image
When my main character in 'Heat' climbs the tower, the highest diving platform, hoping to resume competitive diving after an injury, I am there… — Michael Cadnum Copy Share Image
You start playing when it's cold and you want to be playing when it's cold again. — Jimy Williams Copy Share Image
It would be a piece of ingenuousness to accuse the man of today of his lack of moral code. The accusation would leave him… — Jose Ortega y Gasset Copy Share Image
I would have touched it like a child But knew my finger could but have touched Cold stone and water. I grew wild, Even… — William Butler Yeats Copy Share Image
What's to become of the morally sound? Left out in the cold, I suppose. We must heal the sick. — Henrik Ibsen Copy Share Image
When I first started, all the reviews of Cold Chisel would say, 'This singer won't have a voice in six months.' — Jimmy Barnes Copy Share Image