Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
