Quote by Nate Silver Download Open image ““Bayes’s theorem predicts that the Bayesians will win.”” — Nate Silver ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 4.8 out of 5 (8 ratings) Copy quoteShare
“Perhaps the most striking illustration of Bayes’s theorem comes from a riddle that a mathematics teacher that I knew would pose to his students… — Siddhartha Mukherjee Copy Share Image
“the only thing that can be predicted is the probability of different events.” — Richard P. Feynman Copy Share Image
“They point out that we never know for sure which hypothesis is the true one, and so we shouldn’t just pick one hypothesis, like… — Pedro Domingos Copy Share Image
“The Way of Bayes is also an imprecise art, at least the way I'm holding forth upon it. These blog posts are still fumbling… — Eliezer Yudkowsky Copy Share Image
“Predictions are but guesses - when they come true, they are prophecies; when they don't, we salvage the situation by calling them allegories.” — Mike Klepper Copy Share Image
“Loving was playing a Bayesian game now, one modeled on imperfect information.” — Jeffery Deaver Copy Share Image
Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge. — Lao Tzu Copy Share Image
“The first rule of winning is to believe you're capable of winning.” — Madeleine Wickham Copy Share Image
“To win or lose often depends on set parameters. Expand the bounds of what is possible, and you may come out the true winner,… — Tom Althouse Copy Share Image
“Symbolists don’t like probabilities and tell jokes like “How many Bayesians does it take to change a lightbulb? They’re not sure. Come to think… — Pedro Domingos Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space,… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image