Experts Quote by Nate Silver

“Tetlock’s words, even when their predictions prove.”

— Steven D. Levitt

“Philip Tetlock, a psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania, explored these so-called expert predictions in a landmark twenty-year study, which he published in his…

— Daniel Kahneman

“Predictions are just good guesses or stories for the gullible.”

— Wynne Channing

“the better they recalled the topics of conversation, the more extremely off their predictions were. In other words, the busier their brains were, the…

— Maria Konnikova

“predictions can’t vary more than the thing being forecast.”

— Richard H. Thaler

"I have not made any arrogant, confident, boasting predictions at all. On the contrary, I have stuck hard to my "blood, toil, tears and…

— Winston Churchill

“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.”

— Niels Bohr

“In making these predictions, I have had the invaluable assistance of scientists who graciously allowed me to interview them, broadcast their ideas on national…

— Michio Kaku

“most importantly, this prediction is less of a prophecy and more a way of discussing our present choices. If the discussion makes us choose…

— Yuval Noah Harari

“Relying on predictions alone is dangerous.”

— Roger Spitz

“His main problem, he knew, would be controlling the press.”

— Sidney Sheldon

“A lot of what people did and said when they "predicted" things, Morey now realized, was phony: pretending to know things rather than actually…

— Michael Lewis