Quote by Steven D. Levitt Download Open image ““Tetlock’s words, even when their predictions prove.”” — Steven D. Levitt ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 4.5 out of 5 (3 ratings) Copy quoteShare
“The more interviews that an expert had done with the press, Tetlock found, the worse his predictions tended to be.” — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“As we explore these possibilities we must remember that they are just that — not predictions or prophecies.” — Gerard O'Neill Copy Share Image
“Just because a prediction is true, doesn't mean that it is not false.” — Lionel Suggs Copy Share Image
“Words linger and words matter, I learned, and it’s not possible to predict the fallout they can have on a subject’s life.” — Beth Macy Copy Share Image
“the only thing that can be predicted is the probability of different events.” — Richard P. Feynman Copy Share Image
“The fact they could check becomes the prophecy they must believe.” — Nicola Griffith Copy Share Image
“they never thought any one would act on their theories! No one was more astonished than they when what they’d been talking of for… — C.S. Lewis Copy Share Image
“...not that any futurist has ever lost business because of a wrong prediction.” — Edward Tenner Copy Share Image
“Words, even the most ephemeral ones are facts, as heavy as fetters, they leave deep marks.” — Anonymous Copy Share Image
“In making these predictions, I have had the invaluable assistance of scientists who graciously allowed me to interview them, broadcast their ideas on national… — Michio Kaku Copy Share Image
“During many ages, the prediction, as it is usual, contributed to its own accomplishment. ” — Edward Gibbon Copy Share Image
“My science is based in voraciously wandering fact, luscious speculation, and spontaneous theory with a dash of prevarication. All of which are most likely… — J. DeWayne Pierce Copy Share Image
“Here is the broader point: whatever problem you're trying to solve, make sure you're not just attacking the noisy part of the problem that… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“Human beings, for all our accomplishments, can be fragile animals. Most of us don't take criticism well at all.” — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“The ECLS data do show, for instance, that a child with a lot of books in his home tends to test higher than a… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“In a complex world where people can be atypical in an infinite number of ways, there is great value in discovering the baseline. And… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“Morning robberies yield far more than afternoon robberies . . .' - When to Rob a Bank: A Rouge Economist's Guide to the World… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“The more complex a problem is, the harder it is to capture good feedback. You can gather a lot of facts, and that may… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“[...]if you are hoping to damage opponents' mental health, go ahead and tell them how inferior or dim-witted or nasty they are. But even… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“If asked how we'd behave in a situation that pits a private benefit against the greater good, most of us won't admit to favoring… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“The impulse to investigate can only be set free if you stop pretending to know answers that you don't. Because the incentives to pretend… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“From 2002 to 2008, the United States was fighting bloody wars in Afghanistan and Iraq; among active military personnel, there were an average 1,643… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“But if you are hell-bent on persuading someone, or if your back is truly against the wall, you might as well give it your… — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image
“Just because you're great at something doesn't mean you're good at everything.” — Steven D. Levitt Copy Share Image