Quote by Nate Silver Download Open image ““Stories of prediction are often those of long-term progress but short-term regress”” — Nate Silver ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 2.2 out of 5 (8 ratings) Copy quoteShare
The future is itself a story, and predictions are stories we tell to amaze ourselves, to give hope to the desperate, to jolt the… — David Remnick Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“The more predictable you are, the better you will be at estimating how long something will take and the more promises you can make… — David B. Copeland Copy Share Image
“I just predicted the future, Small talk = Short Term Relationships.” — Deyth Banger Copy Share Image
Prediction is a very difficult business, particularly about the future — Fred Singer Copy Share Image
My stories are warnings; they're not predictions. If they were predictions, I wouldn't do them. Because then I'd be part of the doom-ridden psychology.… — Ray Bradbury Copy Share Image
I find that predicting the course of our lives is like predicting the weather. You might be able to predict your future in the… — Leonard Mlodinow Copy Share Image
Prediction is structurally inseparable from the business of punditry: It creates the essential image of indefatigable authority that is punditry's very architecture; it flows… — Rick Perlstein Copy Share Image
When something happens people didn't predict, they find ways to explain it as if it were predictable. — Michael Lewis Copy Share Image
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found… — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space, it often means that we will encounter cases in which the relationships we are studying did not hold up as well as we are accustomed to. The model will seem to be less powerful. It will… — Nate Silver Copy Share
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress. — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' — Nate Silver Copy Share Image
