Quote by Daniel Kahneman

“heuristics are simple, efficient rules—either hard-wired in our brains or learned—that kick in especially when we're facing problems with incomplete information.”

— David DiSalvo

“The reliance on the heuristic caused predictable biases (systematic errors) in their predictions.”

— Daniel Kahneman

“When heuristics don’t yield the results we expect, you’d think we would eventually realize that something’s wrong. Even if we don’t locate the biases,…

— Sheena Iyengar

The systematic experimental study of reproducible errors of human reasoning, and what these errors reveal about underlying mental processes, is known as the heuristics…

— Eliezer Yudkowsky

The art of drawing conclusions from experiments and observations consists in evaluating probabilities and in estimating whether they are sufficiently great or numerous enough…

— Antoine Lavoisier

“the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.”

— Daniel Kahneman

“People who can accurately sort probabilities from possibilities are generally strong at “practical thinking”;”

— Ray Dalio

Heuristic is an algorithm in a clown suit. It’s less predictable, it’s more fun, and it comes without a 30-day, money-back guarantee.

— Steve McConnell

“If subjective confidence is not to be trusted, how can we evaluate the probable validity of an intuitive judgment? When do judgments reflect true…

— Daniel Kahneman

“Strategy is born when a calculated risk meets an educated guess”

— Samer Chidiac

“people often make correct predictions on the basis of erroneous beliefs and defective prediction strategies.”

— Lee Ross

“The Way of Bayes is also an imprecise art, at least the way I'm holding forth upon it. These blog posts are still fumbling…

— Eliezer Yudkowsky