The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance. — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“The psychologist Paul Slovic has proposed an affect heuristic in which people let their likes and dislikes determine their beliefs about the… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“We are confident when the story we tell ourselves comes easily to mind, with no contradiction and no competing scenario. But ease… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“that people can maintain an unshakable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“Searching for wisdom in historic events requires an act of faith—a belief in the existence of recurrent patterns waiting to be discovered.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“System 1 continuously generates suggestions for System 2: impressions, intuitions, intentions, and feelings. If endorsed by System 2, impressions and intuitions turn… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“impressions, feelings, and inclinations; when endorsed by System 2 these become beliefs, attitudes, and intentions” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“Many decisions are based on beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events such as the outcome of an election, the guilt of… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“We know that people can maintain an unshakeable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“For some of our most important beliefs we have no evidence at all, except that people we love and trust hold these… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“Now that you have measured the lines, you—your System 2, the conscious being you call “I”—have a new belief: you know that… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“even compelling causal statistics will not change long-held beliefs or beliefs rooted in personal experience.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“To be useful, your beliefs should be constrained by the logic of probability.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“beliefs. A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
If people are failing, they look inept. If people are succeeding, they look strong and good and competent. That's the 'halo effect.'… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“The amount of evidence and its quality do not count for much, because poor evidence can make a very good story. For… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
We are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random. — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
Economists think about what people ought to do. Psychologists watch what they actually do. — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“People who are poor think like traders, but the dynamics are quite different. Unlike traders, the poor are not indifferent to the differences between… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“Mood evidently affects the operation of System 1: when we are uncomfortable and unhappy, we lose touch with our intuition.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“So this is my aim for watercooler conversations: improve the ability to identify and understand errors of judgment and choice, in others and eventually… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“For example, I recently came to doubt my long-held impression that adultery is more common among politicians than among physicians or lawyers.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty. — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“the idea of money primes individualism: a reluctance to be involved with others, to depend on others, or to accept demands from others.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
Most of the moments of our life - and I calculated, you know, the psychological present is said to be about three seconds long;… — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
“knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.” — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image
Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are. — Daniel Kahneman Copy Share Image