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Decision making Quote by Daniel Kahneman

“Many decisions are based on beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events such as the outcome of an election, the guilt of a defendant, or the future value of the dollar.” quote by Daniel Kahneman
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““Many decisions are based on beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events such as the outcome of an election, the guilt of a defendant, or the future value of the dollar.””

Daniel Kahneman

About This Quote

Source Book: Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman, 2011

Decisions rely on beliefs about uncertain outcomes, influencing judgments in law, politics, and economics.

In simple terms: Beliefs shape decisions under uncertainty.

Key Takeaway

Question your assumptions.

Themes

decision making uncertainty beliefs judgment

Mood

analytical reflective

Type

philosophical educational

When to use this quote

  • court verdicts
  • election forecasting
  • investment strategy
  • policy planning

Key Concepts

Cognitive bias probability assessment risk perception

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you evaluate the likelihood of unknown events?
  • What biases affect your judgments?
A Different Perspective

Beliefs can be irrational, leading to poor choices.

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