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Bigs Quote by Daniel Kahneman

“Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.” quote by Daniel Kahneman
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“Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.”

Daniel Kahneman

About This Quote

Source Book: Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, 2011

Understanding risk requires distinguishing informed courage from blind optimism; the former knows odds, the latter ignores them.

In simple terms: Know the odds before acting.

Key Takeaway

Assess odds, then act.

Themes

risk decisionmaking psychology courage

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

advice philosophical

When to use this quote

  • investment decisions
  • entrepreneurial ventures
  • personal health choices
  • public policy planning

Key Concepts

probability cognitive bias confidence

Questions to Reflect On

  • Do you often act without checking odds?
  • How can you improve your risk assessment?
A Different Perspective

Overconfidence can still lead to success if the environment is forgiving.

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