Average Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“Maximum of an average is necessarily less volatile than the average maximum”
About This Quote
Source Book: Antifragile, 2012
The average of maximums fluctuates more than the maximum of averages.
In simple terms: Maximums average is steadier.
Prefer averaging over extremes.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment portfolio design
- risk assessment
- quality control
- weather forecasting
- sports analytics
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- When does averaging mislead decisions?
- What risks arise from focusing on extremes?
Real data may not fit idealized statistical models.