The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“I know that history will be dominated by an improbable event, I just don't know what that event will be.” — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“I know that history is going to be dominated by an improbable event, I just don’t know what that event will be.” — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
At no point in history have so many non-risk-takers, that is, those with no personal exposure, exerted so much control. — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“it is easy to see that history is truly written by losers with time on their hands and a protected academic position.” — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“In the past, only some of the males, but all of the females, were able to procreate. Equality is more natural for… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Only in recent history has "working hard" signaled pride rather than shame for lack of talent, finesse and, mostly, sprezzatura . — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Banks have never made money in the history of banking, losing the equivalent of all their past profits periodically - while bankers… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
In economic life and history more generally, just about everything of consequence comes from black swans; ordinary events have paltry effects in… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
We glorify those who left their names in history books at the expense of those contributors about whom our books are silent.… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“Learn to read history, get all the knowledge you can, do not frown on the anecdote, but do not draw any causal… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“Until recent history, the central state represented about 5 percent of the economy. ...and further, governments were sufficiently distracted by war to leave… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“Actually my father kept hinting to me the problem of getting good grades himself: the person who was at the exact bottom… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Wittgenstein's ruler: Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
In politics we face the choice between warmongering, nation-state loving, big-business agents on one hand; and risk-blind, top-down, epistemic arrogant big servants of large… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
My nightmare scenario is that the government saves Citibank once again, as well as the other banks, and business resumes as usual. Then, the… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Using, as an excuse, others' failure of common sense is in itself a failure of common sense. — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
You know, children philosophize more than adults - and they are critical of adults. — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“Suckers think that you cure greed with money, addiction with substances, expert problems with experts, banking with bankers, economics with economists, and debt crises… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“One needs to go out and buy a lottery ticket in order to win. Does it mean that the work involved in the trip… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Individuals should think about the worst-case scenarios and plan for them. The world will be crazier than you think it will be. Put money… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“If you are looking for your misplaced wallet in your living room, in a trial and error mode, you exercise rationality by not looking… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
“Most humans manage to squander their free time, as free time makes them dysfunctional, lazy, and unmotivated—the busier they get, the more active they… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
We learn the most from fools ... yet we pay them back with the worst ingratitude. — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image