Illusion of control Quote by Heidi Cullen

“mechanisms of weather predictions are very similar to those of climate predictions. So if we’re comfortable trusting local forecasters’ predictions about weather, we should…

— Heidi Cullen

“What’s the point of making predictions if they cannot change anything? Some complex systems, such as the weather, are oblivious to our predictions. The…

— Yuval Noah Harari

Our long-range predictions - especially those which anticipate extreme-weather events - rely on an assumption that the future will be similar to the past.…

— Hannah Fry

“predictions can’t vary more than the thing being forecast.”

— Richard H. Thaler

Predictions are preposterous. What usually happens is that people tell you that what they'd like to see happen instead of what they really think…

— Jackie Mason

“Our knowledge does not help us to forecast the future, but it makes us more certain that our guesses are the right ones. In…

— Chris Carter

The more unpredictable the world is the more we rely on predictions.

— Steve Rivkin

When something happens people didn't predict, they find ways to explain it as if it were predictable.

— Michael Lewis

Nobody believes a weather prediction twelve hours ahead. Now we're being asked to believe a prediction that goes out 100 years into the future?…

— Michael Crichton

“Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones, and some of us get fooled and double-down our bets.”

— Nate Silver

You can't predict anything. How can you be certain about anything when everything is chaos and we're not in control?

— John Lloyd

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

— Nate Silver