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Correlation Quote by Daniel Kahneman

“regression inevitably occurs when the correlation between two measures is less than perfect,” quote by Daniel Kahneman
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““regression inevitably occurs when the correlation between two measures is less than perfect,””

Daniel Kahneman

About This Quote

Source Book: Thinking, Fast and Slow, 2011

When two measures are not perfectly correlated, regression to the mean is inevitable, causing predictions to drift toward average values.

In simple terms: Imperfect correlation leads to regression toward the mean.

Key Takeaway

Expect averages to dominate when data isn’t perfectly linked.

Themes

statistics prediction correlation regression uncertainty

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

educational informative

When to use this quote

  • forecasting
  • risk assessment
  • data analysis

Key Concepts

probability theory behavioral economics

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you account for regression to the mean in your decisions?
  • What strategies mitigate its impact?
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