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Feedback Quote by Rich Jolly

“7. Remember It’s Only a Model—Always remember George Box's excellent advice, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” The feedback and delays you have identified are only part of the picture. There may be tens or hundreds of feedback loops and delays that have not been identified.” quote by Rich Jolly
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““7. Remember It’s Only a Model—Always remember George Box's excellent advice, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” The feedback and delays you have identified are only part of the picture. There may be tens or hundreds of feedback loops and delays that have not been identified.””

Rich Jolly

About This Quote

Source Speech: Talk on Modeling and Feedback Loops, 2023

All models are imperfect; usefulness depends on recognizing their limits and the hidden feedback within systems.

In simple terms: Models are flawed but can help.

Key Takeaway

Question model assumptions constantly.

Themes

modeling feedback uncertainty decisionmaking

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

technical pragmatic

When to use this quote

  • business strategy
  • software development
  • policy analysis
  • scientific research

Key Concepts

systems theory statistics

Questions to Reflect On

  • What hidden feedback might you be missing?
  • How do you test a model’s usefulness?
A Different Perspective

Relying solely on models can blind you to real-world complexity.

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