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“In every mutual fund prospectus, in every sales promotional folder, and in every mutual fund advertisement (albeit in print almost too small to read), the following warning appears: "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."” quote by Paul Samuelson
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“In every mutual fund prospectus, in every sales promotional folder, and in every mutual fund advertisement (albeit in print almost too small to read), the following warning appears: "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."”

Paul Samuelson

About This Quote

Source Financial Document: Mutual Fund Prospectus, 1990s

Historical returns do not ensure similar future performance; risk must be assessed anew each time.

In simple terms: Past results don’t guarantee future outcomes.

Key Takeaway

Evaluate current risk before investing.

Themes

investment risk history

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

educational advisory

When to use this quote

  • portfolio management
  • retirement planning
  • financial advising

Key Concepts

financial forecasting probability

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you balance past data with future uncertainty?
  • What metrics best assess future risk?
A Different Perspective

Past data can be misleading if overrelied upon.

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