Black Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“at its core, the Black Swan is a modeling problem. The observer has deemed the event improbable based on their existing experiences which serve…

— Rich Jolly

“The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable,”

— Brad Stone

“Black Swan has three attributes: unpredictability, consequences, retrospective explainability.”

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

So the world is much more correlated than we give credit to. And so we see more of what Nassim Taleb calls "black swan…

— Richard Thaler

“A Black Swan event has three important characteristics. 1. The event is unexpected, or considered improbable, to the observer. 2. The event has a…

— Rich Jolly

In economic life and history more generally, just about everything of consequence comes from black swans; ordinary events have paltry effects in the long…

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“The scientific method asserts that one cannot prove a hypothesis, only disprove it. Seeing more white swans may strengthen the hypothesis, but seeing a…

— Rich Jolly

“‎"..one can predict the future with some degree of accuracy based on one's own knowledge of past events. And rare events do occur, but…

— Mary Lydon Simonsen

Even very low-probability events can, and indeed do, occur.

— Gavin Extence

Nothing is impossible. Some things are just less likely than others.

— Jonathan Winters

Unlike the position that exists in the physical sciences, in economics and other disciplines that deal with essentially complex phenomena, the aspects of the…

— Friedrich August von Hayek

“It’s a phrase, black swan,” she said. “Means a totally unexpected event with a big impact. But one that seems predictable afterwards, with the…

— Mick Herron