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Bullshit Quote by Jason Fried

“Projections are just bullshit. They're just guesses.” quote by Jason Fried
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“Projections are just bullshit. They're just guesses.”

Jason Fried

About This Quote

Source Interview: 2020, Jason Fried on forecasting

Forecasts are unreliable estimates, often based on limited data and bias.

In simple terms: Forecasts are unreliable guesses.

Key Takeaway

Treat projections skeptically and seek data.

Themes

uncertainty decisionmaking risk

Mood

cautious critical

Type

advice warning

When to use this quote

  • budget planning
  • product launches
  • investment decisions

Key Concepts

forecasting bias probability

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you validate a projection?
  • What data would improve accuracy?
A Different Perspective

Projections can mislead if not grounded in evidence.

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