“Combinatorial complexity is well understood and can be tackled in an engineering fashion. For example, the airline schedule is usually built using… — Rich Jolly Programming Copy Share Image
“The Dao that can be told is not the eternal Dao. Lao Tzu, First verse of Tao Te Ching” — Rich Jolly Poetry Copy Share Image
“Just because an individual ant seems to wander around aimlessly, doesn't mean a colony of ants will behave this way. This is… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“Delay is another crucial component in the structure of dynamic systems. In most cases, the process of feedback is not instantaneous. As… — Rich Jolly Change Copy Share Image
“Diversity Prediction Theorem, which asserts that diversity and accuracy contribute equally to group performance. This says, in essence, that it is equally… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“Deductive reasoning, the bedrock of the scientific method, begins with a new theory which leads to a prediction (a hypothesis). The real… — Rich Jolly Logic Copy Share Image
“systems theory or, as some people might call it, complexity theory? The simplest explanation is that it is the study of interactions.” — Rich Jolly Education Copy Share Image
“Senge (1990) introduced the idea of system archetypes as being connections of feedback loops and delays” — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“By its morphology, an antifragile object should be the opposite of a fragile object. So, something that is antifragile should gain, or… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“6. Consider if the model may be a useful communication or training tool for the organization.” — Rich Jolly Communication Copy Share Image
“if you have chosen the most prominent expert to work on a problem, the performance of a diverse group containing that expert… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“3. Look for Building Blocks—Look at your diagram of feedback loops and delays to identify potential building blocks, either linked feedback loops… — Rich Jolly Building blocks Copy Share Image
“Key Idea for Qualitative Dynamics: Structure Impacts Behavior Through Time” — Rich Jolly Architecture Copy Share Image
“The two reinforcing loops take on different natures: virtuous to the successful and vicious to the unsuccessful.” — Rich Jolly Nature Copy Share Image
“As an ultimate example of emergence, consider your own consciousness that is emerging from the connections of neurons in your brain.” — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“Evolution is antifragile! While individuals in the population are fragile, the population as a whole is antifragile.” — Rich Jolly Biology Copy Share Image
“Dynamic simulators create the behavior of the system by solving the imbedded sets of differential equations using mathematical approximation techniques.” — Rich Jolly Habits Copy Share Image
“While ants may be extremely strong for their weight, they're not particularly smart. Instead, the ant hill is built from the interactions… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“1. Identify the System—Perhaps the most important aspect here is specifying the system boundary” — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“4. Sketch Out Possible Dynamic Behaviors—Given the structure you have identified, what possible dynamic behaviors can be produced? Compare those to what… — Rich Jolly Habits Copy Share Image
“System 2 burns a lot of fuel (glucose from the bloodstream), and the tendency to accept the recommendations of System 1 reduces… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
“Some of the world's best poker players use random choice to determine when to bluff.” — Rich Jolly Choice Copy Share Image
“The psychological bias here is called competition neglect, and was initially identified by Camerer and Lovallo (1999). The bias is quite simply… — Rich Jolly Psychology Copy Share Image
“Prospect theory could be valuable in situations of bargaining and negotiation. For example, when one party makes a concession, their utility impact… — Rich Jolly Copy Share Image
