Nate Silver

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.

— Nate Silver

A lot of things can't be modeled very well.

— Nate Silver

I've just always been a bit of a dork.

— Nate Silver

A lot of the time nothing happens in a day.

— Nate Silver

Success makes you less intimidated by things.

— Nate Silver

People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.

— Nate Silver

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

— Nate Silver

I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

— Nate Silver

I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.

— Nate Silver

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

— Nate Silver

The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

— Nate Silver

Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

— Nate Silver

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

— Nate Silver

“When catastrophe strikes, we look for a signal in the noise - anything that might explain the chaos that we see all…

— Nate Silver

I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

— Nate Silver

I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time,…

— Nate Silver

I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of…

— Nate Silver

I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.

— Nate Silver

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

— Nate Silver

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New…

— Nate Silver

“Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones, and some of us get fooled and double-down our bets.”

— Nate Silver

“Wherever there is human judgment there is the potential for bias. The way to become more objective is to recognize the influence…

— Nate Silver

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial…

— Nate Silver

Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree…

— Nate Silver

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the…

— Nate Silver

Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in…

— Nate Silver

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if…

— Nate Silver

“When we advance more confident claims and they fail to come to fruition, this constitutes much more powerful evidence against our hypothesis.…

— Nate Silver

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the…

— Nate Silver

“It is amusing to poke fun at the experts when their predictions fail. However, we should be careful with our Schadenfreude. To…

— Nate Silver

“Risk, as first articulated by the economist Frank H. Knight in 1921,45 is something that you can put a price on. Say…

— Nate Silver

“The alchemy that the ratings agencies performed was to spin uncertainty into what looked and felt like risk. They took highly novel…

— Nate Silver

“ballot you go, the more volatile the polls tend to be: polls of House races are less accurate than polls of Senate…

— Nate Silver

People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

— Nate Silver

“We are undoubtedly living with many delusions that we do not even realize.”

— Nate Silver

In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.

— Nate Silver

If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot.

— Nate Silver

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

— Nate Silver

“Stories of prediction are often those of long-term progress but short-term regress”

— Nate Silver

You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.

— Nate Silver