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Bills Quote by Warren Buffett

“We will continue to ignore political and economic forecasts, which are an expensive distraction for many investors and businessmen. Thirty years ago, no one could have foreseen the huge expansion of the Vietnam War, wage and price controls, two oil shocks, the resignation of a president, the…” quote by Warren Buffett
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“We will continue to ignore political and economic forecasts, which are an expensive distraction for many investors and businessmen. Thirty years ago, no one could have foreseen the huge expansion of the Vietnam War, wage and price controls, two oil shocks, the resignation of a president, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, a one-day drop in the Dow of 508 points, or treasury bill yields fluctuating between 2.8% and 17.4%.”

Warren Buffett

About This Quote

Source Letter to Shareholders, Berkshire Hathaway, 2023

He warns that ignoring economic forecasts is costly, citing historic unpredictable events that impacted markets.

In simple terms: Ignoring forecasts costs money; history shows surprise shocks.

Key Takeaway

Pay attention to macro trends.

Themes

economics investment risk management

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

financial strategic

When to use this quote

  • investment strategy
  • business planning
  • risk assessment

Key Concepts

forecasting historical volatility

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you balance forecasts with intuition?
  • What signals matter most?
A Different Perspective

Forecasts can be wrong; overreliance may mislead.

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