Bills Quote by Warren Buffett
“We will continue to ignore political and economic forecasts, which are an expensive distraction for many investors and businessmen. Thirty years ago, no one could have foreseen the huge expansion of the Vietnam War, wage and price controls, two oil shocks, the resignation of a president, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, a one-day drop in the Dow of 508 points, or treasury bill yields fluctuating between 2.8% and 17.4%.”
About This Quote
Source Letter to Shareholders, Berkshire Hathaway, 2023
He warns that ignoring economic forecasts is costly, citing historic unpredictable events that impacted markets.
In simple terms: Ignoring forecasts costs money; history shows surprise shocks.
Pay attention to macro trends.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment strategy
- business planning
- risk assessment
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you balance forecasts with intuition?
- What signals matter most?
Forecasts can be wrong; overreliance may mislead.