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Ignorance Quote by Thomas Homer-Dixon

“We might be excused our ignorance in this case, because ocean-atmosphere systems are, after all, almost inconceivably complex. Less easy to excuse is our astounding lack of knowledge of much more visible features of our planet’s natural resources and ecology—features that have a direct impact on…” quote by Thomas Homer-Dixon
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““We might be excused our ignorance in this case, because ocean-atmosphere systems are, after all, almost inconceivably complex. Less easy to excuse is our astounding lack of knowledge of much more visible features of our planet’s natural resources and ecology—features that have a direct impact on our well-being. For instance, we know surprisingly little about the state of the planet’s soils. While we have good information for some areas, like the Great Plains of the United States, soil data are sketchy for vast tracts of Africa, Asia, and Latin America, where billions of people depend directly on agriculture for survival. So we can’t accurately judge how badly we’ve degraded these soils through overuse and poor husbandry, though we do have patchy evidence that the damage is severe and getting worse in many places.18 Similarly, despite extensive satellite photography, our estimates of the rate and extent of tropical deforestation are rudimentary. We know even less about the natural ecology and species diversity inside these forests, where biologists presume most animal and plant species live. As a result, credible figures on the number of Earth’s species range from 5 to 30 million.19 And when it comes to broader questions—questions of how all these components of the planet’s ecology fit together; how they interact to produce Earth’s grand cycles of energy, carbon, oxygen, nitrogen, and sulfur; and how we’re perturbing these components and cycles—we find a deep and pervasive lack of knowledge, with unknown unknowns everywhere. Our ignorance, for all practical purposes, knows no bounds.””

Thomas Homer-Dixon

About This Quote

Source Book: The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization, Thomas Homer-Dixon, 2006

Human understanding of Earth’s complex systems is limited, especially regarding soils, forests, and biodiversity, leading to blind spots in environmental stewardship.

In simple terms: We know far less about many critical ecological components than we think.

Key Takeaway

Recognize and address gaps in ecological knowledge.

Themes

environment knowledge complexity uncertainty stewardship

Mood

concerned urgent reflective

Type

analytical informative

When to use this quote

  • agricultural policy
  • conservation planning
  • climate modeling
  • education curricula
  • international research collaborations

Key Concepts

systems thinking ecological literacy risk assessment

Questions to Reflect On

  • What critical ecological data are most missing?
  • How can we prioritize research to fill these gaps?
A Different Perspective

Data scarcity and uneven research focus hinder accurate assessment and response to ecological degradation.

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