Technology Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
““But the technology is only trivial retrospectively—not prospectively.””
About This Quote
Source Book: Antifragile, 2012
Technological advances seem trivial after they succeed, but predicting their future impact is highly uncertain.
In simple terms: We only see tech's value after it works.
Plan for uncertainty, not just hindsight.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment decisions
- policy making
- product development
- strategic planning
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How can we better anticipate disruptive tech?
- What safeguards reduce surprise failures?
Overreliance on past success can blind future risks.