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Government spending Quote by Lawrence W. Reed

“Some defenders of FDR, such as economist Paul Krugman, blame the 1937–38 collapse on a reduction in government spending. In typical Keynesian fashion, they claim that the economy tanked that year because the president, after nearly doubling federal spending in his first term, caved to GOP demands…” quote by Lawrence W. Reed
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““Some defenders of FDR, such as economist Paul Krugman, blame the 1937–38 collapse on a reduction in government spending. In typical Keynesian fashion, they claim that the economy tanked that year because the president, after nearly doubling federal spending in his first term, caved to GOP demands to rein in expenditures. But in real terms, the reduction was puny — less than 1 percent of GDP. Even by Keynesian standards, this blip could hardly have produced the ensuing one-third decline in industrial production.””

Lawrence W. Reed

About This Quote

Source Article: Economic Commentary, 2020

Critiques the claim that a tiny fiscal cut caused a major economic downturn, arguing the reduction was negligible.

In simple terms: Small spending cuts didn't cause the big slump.

Key Takeaway

Question the magnitude of policy impacts.

Themes

economics policy analysis history

Mood

analytical critical

Type

academic informative

When to use this quote

  • academic debate
  • policy formulation
  • economic forecasting

Key Concepts

Keynesian economics fiscal policy

Questions to Reflect On

  • What other forces could explain the production decline?
  • How reliable are historical economic at?
A Different Perspective

The argument may overlook other contributing factors.

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