Quote by Daniel Kahneman

“The ultimate test of an explanation is whether it would have made the event predictable in advance. No story of Google’s unlikely success will…

— Daniel Kahneman

“Every small, concurrent event had slowed down and assumed an excruciating clarity.”

— Anthony Doerr

“It was all as I’d predicted. But just because you predicted something would happen didn’t make it any easier when it actually did.”

— Jay Antani

“If you didn't predict that something would happen, if it took you completely by surprise, then what you believed about the world when you…

— Eliezer Yudkowsky

“Of course, this kind of speculation was a waste of mental energy, and he knew it. All they could do at that point was…

— Christa Faust

“But what is the sense in forever speculating what might have happened had such and such a moment turned out differently? One could presumably…

— Kazuo Ishiguro

“I know that history will be dominated by an improbable event, I just don't know what that event will be.”

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“I know that history is going to be dominated by an improbable event, I just don’t know what that event will be.”

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“The ideal reasoner would, when he had once been shown a single fact in all its bearings, deduce from it not only all the…

— Arthur Conan Doyle

“historians need to treat a participant’s own explanation of events with a certain scepticism. It is often the statement made with an eye to…

— Julian Barnes

“the only thing that can be predicted is the probability of different events.”

— Richard P. Feynman

“...that realisation that I was the oddity, the statistical probability, life was predictable.”

— Ruth Dugdall