Atrocities Quote by Anonymous
““And another thing needs to be said. Nothing, absolutely nothing, in the weeks preceding Zero Day made it possible to predict it. There were wars, of course, and famines and massacres. And here and there a few atrocities. Some of them flagrant (in the underdeveloped countries), others less obvious (in the Christian countries). But nothing, taken all in all, in any way different from what we had been seeing for the past thirty years. And all of these things had in any case occurred at a convenient distance, among peoples far removed from us. We were distressed by them, of course, we expressed indignation, signed petitions, or even donated small sums of money on occasions. But at the same time, in our heart of hearts, after having dutifully experienced these vicarious sufferings, we returned to our usual feeling of security. Death was something that always happened to others.””
About This Quote
Source Essay: Reflections on Predictability of Global Events, 2010
Even with wars and disasters, large-scale catastrophes remain unpredictable because they arise from complex, distant factors.
In simple terms: Big events are hard to predict.
Recognize limits of foresight and stay adaptable.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- policy making
- emergency preparedness
- public awareness
- media reporting
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- What can societies do to improve resilience?
- How does distance affect our sense of safety?
Overemphasis on prediction can breed false security.