The word 'chance' then expresses only our ignorance of the…
“The word 'chance' then expresses only our ignorance of the causes of the phenomena that we observe to occur and to succeed one another in no apparent order. Probability is relative in part to this ignorance, and in part to our knowledge.”
About This Quote
This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.
Chance reflects our lack of knowledge; probability measures this uncertainty relative to what we know.
In simple terms: Chance = ignorance; probability quantifies it.
Improve knowledge to reduce uncertainty.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- risk assessment
- scientific research
- policy making
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- What data would turn chance into certainty?
- How does belief affect probability assessment?
Overlooks deterministic interpretations.