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However, the small probability of a similar encounter [of…

“However, the small probability of a similar encounter [of the earth with a comet], can become very great in adding up over a huge sequence of centuries. It is easy to picture to oneself the effects of this impact upon the Earth. The axis and the motion of rotation changed; the seas abandoning…” quote by Pierre-Simon Laplace
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“However, the small probability of a similar encounter [of the earth with a comet], can become very great in adding up over a huge sequence of centuries. It is easy to picture to oneself the effects of this impact upon the Earth. The axis and the motion of rotation changed; the seas abandoning their old position to throw themselves toward the new equator; a large part of men and animals drowned in this universal deluge, or destroyed by the violent tremor imparted to the terrestrial globe.”

Pierre-Simon Laplace

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Over long timescales, rare events can accumulate to produce massive impacts, dramatically reshaping planetary conditions.

In simple terms: Rare events add up over centuries, causing huge changes.

Key Takeaway

Consider low‑probability risks over long periods.

Themes

risk cosmology geology impact probability

Mood

cautious reflective

Type

scientific analytical

When to use this quote

  • long‑term planning
  • space hazard assessment
  • climate modeling
  • infrastructure design

Key Concepts

cumulative risk chaos theory planetary science

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do we balance low‑probability, high‑impact risks?
  • What safeguards can mitigate such planetary threats?
A Different Perspective

Rare events may be overestimated without proper statistical context.

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