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The only thing that we know about financial predictions of…

“The only thing that we know about financial predictions of start-ups is that 100 percent of them are wrong” quote by Brad Feld
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“The only thing that we know about financial predictions of start-ups is that 100 percent of them are wrong”

Brad Feld

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Financial forecasts for early-stage companies are notoriously unreliable, often completely off the mark.

In simple terms: Startup predictions are usually wrong.

Key Takeaway

Treat forecasts as rough guides, not certainties.

Themes

uncertainty entrepreneurship finance

Mood

cautious realistic

Type

advice observational

When to use this quote

  • pitch decks
  • budget planning
  • investor meetings
  • product roadmaps

Key Concepts

probabilistic thinking bias risk management

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you adjust plans when forecasts fail?
  • What safeguards can you build against overconfidence?
A Different Perspective

Even with data, unknown variables can skew outcomes dramatically.

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