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Combination Quote by Warren Buffett

“We make investment decisions based on our evaluation of the most profitable combination of probabilities.” quote by Warren Buffett
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“We make investment decisions based on our evaluation of the most profitable combination of probabilities.”

Warren Buffett

About This Quote

Source Shareholder Letter, Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report, 2008

Investment choices should be guided by evaluating which probability scenarios yield the highest expected profit.

In simple terms: Pick investments with the best profit odds.

Key Takeaway

Focus on high‑probability profit combos.

Themes

finance decision‑making probability

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

business philosophical

When to use this quote

  • portfolio construction
  • risk management
  • business strategy
  • financial planning

Key Concepts

expected value risk assessment

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you quantify profitable probabilities?
  • When might a high‑probability bet be ignored?
A Different Perspective

Complex models can obscure simple intuition.

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