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Arise Quote by Theodore Wilbur Anderson

“...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.” quote by Theodore Wilbur Anderson
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“...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.”

Theodore Wilbur Anderson

About This Quote

Using the same data to test a model creates circular reasoning, compromising climate predictions.

In simple terms: Circular data use undermines science.

Key Takeaway

Seek independent validation for models.

Themes

scientific method climate modeling logic

Mood

academic informative

Type

Arise:0 Climate:1 Climate change:1 Energy:0 Environment:0 Input:1 Keys:0 Models:1 Possibility:0 Reasoning:1 Records:0 Temperature:1 Tested:0 Circular Reasoning:1 Reasoning Arises:0 Possibility Circular:0 Record Derive:0

When to use this quote

  • Sometimes data scarcity forces reuse.

Key Concepts

research design policy making environmental analysis

Questions to Reflect On

  • analytical
  • critical
A Different Perspective

How can we obtain independent climate data?;What safeguards prevent circular reasoning?

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