Future Quote by Roy Amara
““We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.””
About This Quote
Source Speech: Technology Forecasting, 1970s
People often misjudge technology's impact, seeing it too big now and too small later.
In simple terms: We misjudge tech's short and long term effects.
Adjust expectations over time.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- product planning
- investment decisions
- policy making
- personal tech adoption
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you balance excitement with caution?
- What long‑term impacts might you be overlooking?
Short‑term hype can mask long‑term disruption.