Future Quote by Roy Amara
““We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.””
About This Quote
Short‑term hype inflates technology impact, while long‑term effects are often missed.
In simple terms: We overvalue immediate tech impact, undervalue future impact.
Check both near and distant outcomes.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- product launches
- policy making
- investment decisions
- long‑term research
- career planning
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How can we balance optimism with realism?
- What methods reveal hidden long‑term effects?
Short‑term data can mislead long‑term strategy.