Long term Quote by Roy Amara
““We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.””
About This Quote
Source Quote: Futurist observation, 1970s
People tend to over‑estimate short‑term tech impact and underestimate long‑term consequences.
In simple terms: Short‑term hype, long‑term neglect.
Balance optimism with realistic forecasting.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- business strategy
- policy development
- research agendas
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How can we improve long‑term tech foresight?
- What mechanisms prevent short‑term bias?
Long‑term effects are hard to predict.