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Long term Quote by Roy Amara

“We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.” quote by Roy Amara
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““We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.””

Roy Amara

About This Quote

Source Quote: Futurist observation, 1970s

People tend to over‑estimate short‑term tech impact and underestimate long‑term consequences.

In simple terms: Short‑term hype, long‑term neglect.

Key Takeaway

Balance optimism with realistic forecasting.

Themes

technology forecasting short term long term perception

Mood

insightful pragmatic

Type

technology:1 forecasting:1 short term:1 long term:1 perception:1

When to use this quote

  • business strategy
  • policy development
  • research agendas

Key Concepts

innovation cycles risk assessment strategic planning

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we improve long‑term tech foresight?
  • What mechanisms prevent short‑term bias?
A Different Perspective

Long‑term effects are hard to predict.

2.1 out of 5 (10 ratings)

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