"Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and……" — Nate Silver
"Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak."
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Nate Silver
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75 Quotes by Nate Silver
Nate Silver has 75 quotes on this site.
A few more worth reading:
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold…
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's…
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot…
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Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the…
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very…
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that…
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don’t have any discipline in how they look at the world, and…
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We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after…
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The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.
See all 75 quotes by Nate Silver »
More Cold Quotes
This quote is filed under Cold Quotes,
one of 3,580 quotes in that category. Here are a few more:
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Those who remember Washington's cold war culture in the 1980s will recall the shocked reactions to Reagan's intervention. People interested…
— Russell Baker
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Strategic thinkers were naturally rattled to find this outsider fooling around with their work. They had been thinking strategically when…
— Russell Baker
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These flowers, which were splendid and sprightly, waking in the dawn of the morning, in the evening will be a…
— Pedro Calderon de la Barca
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My house is my refuge, an emotional piece of architecture, not a cold piece of convenience.
— Luis Barragan
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Let us not be deceived we are today in the midst of a cold war.
— Bernard Baruch
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I don't like these cold, precise, perfect people, who, in order not to speak wrong, never speak at all, and…
— Henry Ward Beecher
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It is not time for mirth and laughter, the cold, gray dawn of the morning after.
— George Ade
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I love cold, rainy weather.
— Catherine Bell
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When friendship disappears then there is a space left open to that awful loneliness of the outside world which is…
— Hilaire Belloc
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I've been singing properly every day since I was about fifteen or sixteen, and I have never had any problems…
— Adele
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As the scene of life would be more the cold emptiness of space than the warm, dense atmosphere of planets,…
— John Desmond Bernal
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Now if the harvest is over, And the world cold, Give me the bonus of laughter, As I lose hold.
— John Betjeman
See all 3,580 Cold Quotes »