"The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can……" — Nate Silver
"The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress."
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Nate Silver
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75 Quotes by Nate Silver
Nate Silver has 75 quotes on this site.
A few more worth reading:
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold…
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's…
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot…
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Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the…
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very…
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that…
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don’t have any discipline in how they look at the world, and…
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We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after…
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the…
See all 75 quotes by Nate Silver »
More Certainty Quotes
This quote is filed under Certainty Quotes,
one of 970 quotes in that category. Here are a few more:
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The new always happens against the overwhelming odds of statistical laws and their probability, which for all practical, everyday purposes…
— Hannah Arendt
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I don't care who you are, you're going to choke in certain matches. You get to a point where your…
— Arthur Ashe
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If a man will begin with certainties, he shall end in doubts, but if he will content to begin with…
— Francis Bacon
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If a man fights his way through his doubts to the conviction that Jesus Christ is Lord, he has attained…
— William Barclay
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The unique and supreme voluptuousness of love lies in the certainty of committing evil. And men and women know from…
— Charles Baudelaire
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I tore myself away from the safe comfort of certainties through my love for truth - and truth rewarded me.
— Simone de Beauvoir
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Moral certainty can deafen people to any truth other than their own.
— Geraldine Brooks
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There is no such uncertainty as a sure thing.
— Robert Burns
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If I am fool, it is, at least, a doubting one; and I envy no one the certainty of his…
— Lord Byron
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Alas, after a certain age every man is responsible for his face.
— Albert Camus
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One must verify or expel his doubts, and convert them into the certainty of Yes or NO.
— Thomas Carlyle
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It took me less than half a lifetime to realize that regret is one of the few guaranteed certainties. Sooner…
— Jonathan Carroll
See all 970 Certainty Quotes »