Accurate Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.”
About This Quote
Source Book: The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2007
Relying on flimsy data to form beliefs makes it hard to accept later, clearer facts that conflict with those beliefs.
In simple terms: Weak evidence leads to stubborn, inaccurate views.
Key Takeaway
Seek strong evidence before forming opinions.
Themes
critical thinking
epistemology
bias
decision making
Mood
cautious
analytical
Type
advice
philosophical
When to use this quote
- research
- investing
- policy analysis
- personal relationships
Key Concepts
confirmation bias
cognitive dissonance
evidence hierarchy
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you test the strength of your evidence?
- What steps help you revise entrenched views?
A Different Perspective
Even strong evidence can be dismissed if initial beliefs are entrenched.
![“He [Groucho's father] had absolutely no training, and if you had ever seen one of his suits, you'd realize what an accurate statement that is. You see, Pop never used a tape measure. He didn't believe in it. He said he could just look at a man and tell hi.” quote by Groucho Marx](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/img-quotes/02f/groucho-marx-788_accurate_he-groucho-s-father-had-absolutely-no-tr_22161.jpg)
