Combination Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.”
About This Quote
Source Book: Antifragile, 2012
Observations are influenced by variability and returns, not just returns alone.
In simple terms: Observations mix variance and returns.
Consider both risk and reward in analysis.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment
- scientific research
- policy making
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you account for variance?
- When is focusing on returns misleading?
May ignore qualitative factors.