Coins Quote by Mohnish Pabrai
“Wall Street sometimes gets confused between risk and uncertainty, and you can profit handsomely from that confusion. The low-risk, high-uncertainty [situation] gives us our most sought after coin-toss odds. Heads, I win; tails, I don't lose much.”
About This Quote
Source Speech: Investor Conference, 2015
Distinguishes risk (measurable) from uncertainty (unknown) and suggests exploiting the latter for profit.
In simple terms: Risk is known; uncertainty is unknown; profit can come from uncertainty.
Seek opportunities where outcomes are uncertain but losses are limited.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- trading strategies
- venture capital
- portfolio diversification
- startup investing
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you identify low‑risk, high‑uncertainty scenarios?
- What safeguards prevent misreading uncertainty as opportunity?
Uncertainty can be hard to quantify and may lead to overconfidence.