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Either Quote by Michael Shermer

“The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out.” quote by Michael Shermer
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“The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out.”

Michael Shermer

About This Quote

Source Book: The Believing Brain, Michael Shermer, 2011

Group averages reduce random individual errors, yielding more accurate estimates.

In simple terms: Groups can cancel out mistakes.

Key Takeaway

Use collective judgment for better accuracy.

Themes

statistics group dynamics error reduction

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

scientific educational

When to use this quote

  • Survey analysis
  • team decisions
  • forecasting

Key Concepts

Central limit theorem wisdom of crowds

Questions to Reflect On

  • When should you trust a group over an expert?
  • How to avoid collective bias?
A Different Perspective

Groupthink can suppress outlier insights.

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