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“When interest rates are high you want the average direction in which interest rates are moving to be downward; when interest rates are low you want the average direction to be upward.” quote by John Hull
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“When interest rates are high you want the average direction in which interest rates are moving to be downward; when interest rates are low you want the average direction to be upward.”

John Hull

About This Quote

Source Book: Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 7th edition, 2013

High rates favor expectations of decline; low rates favor expectations of rise.

In simple terms: Rate expectations reverse with level.

Key Takeaway

Align strategy with rate trends.

Themes

finance interest rates strategy

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

educational practical

When to use this quote

  • investment planning
  • risk management
  • policy making

Key Concepts

expectations market dynamics

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you gauge rate direction?
  • What risks arise from misreading trends?
A Different Perspective

Assumes clear trend direction, which may be ambiguous.

3.1 out of 5 (6 ratings)

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