Average Quote by John Hull
“When interest rates are high you want the average direction in which interest rates are moving to be downward; when interest rates are low you want the average direction to be upward.”
About This Quote
Source Book: Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 7th edition, 2013
High rates favor expectations of decline; low rates favor expectations of rise.
In simple terms: Rate expectations reverse with level.
Align strategy with rate trends.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment planning
- risk management
- policy making
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you gauge rate direction?
- What risks arise from misreading trends?
Assumes clear trend direction, which may be ambiguous.