Agree Quote by Don Aitkin
“How reliable are the computer [climate] models on which possible future climates are based? Not very. All will agree that the task of modeling climate is vast, because of the estimates that have to be made and the rubbery quality of much of the data.”
About This Quote
Source Speech: Climate Modeling Lecture, 2015
Climate models are limited by uncertain data and complex assumptions, making long‑term predictions unreliable.
In simple terms: Models are uncertain due to data and assumptions.
Treat model projections as guides, not certainties.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- policy planning
- risk assessment
- public communication
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How can we improve data reliability?
- What decisions should rely on model outputs?
Models cannot capture all variables, leading to potential errors.