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Agree Quote by Don Aitkin

“How reliable are the computer [climate] models on which possible future climates are based? Not very. All will agree that the task of modeling climate is vast, because of the estimates that have to be made and the rubbery quality of much of the data.” quote by Don Aitkin
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“How reliable are the computer [climate] models on which possible future climates are based? Not very. All will agree that the task of modeling climate is vast, because of the estimates that have to be made and the rubbery quality of much of the data.”

Don Aitkin

About This Quote

Source Speech: Climate Modeling Lecture, 2015

Climate models are limited by uncertain data and complex assumptions, making long‑term predictions unreliable.

In simple terms: Models are uncertain due to data and assumptions.

Key Takeaway

Treat model projections as guides, not certainties.

Themes

uncertainty science climate change

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

informative critical

When to use this quote

  • policy planning
  • risk assessment
  • public communication

Key Concepts

modeling data quality complex systems

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we improve data reliability?
  • What decisions should rely on model outputs?
A Different Perspective

Models cannot capture all variables, leading to potential errors.

2.3 out of 5 (3 ratings)

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