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Century Quote by Derek J. de Solla Price

“It is clear that we cannot go up another two orders of magnitude as we have climbed the last five. If we did, we should have two scientists for every man, woman, child, and dog in the population, and we should spend on them twice as much money as we had. Scientific doomsday is therefore less than…” quote by Derek J. de Solla Price
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“It is clear that we cannot go up another two orders of magnitude as we have climbed the last five. If we did, we should have two scientists for every man, woman, child, and dog in the population, and we should spend on them twice as much money as we had. Scientific doomsday is therefore less than a century distant.”

Derek J. de Solla Price

About This Quote

Source Book: Little Science, Big Science, 1986

Exponential growth in scientific workforce cannot continue indefinitely; resource limits will cause a collapse within a century.

In simple terms: Science cannot keep expanding forever.

Key Takeaway

Plan for sustainable research scales.

Themes

science growth resource limits future policy

Mood

concerned analytical

Type

cautionary predictive

When to use this quote

  • research funding
  • education planning
  • policy making
  • technology development

Key Concepts

exponential growth resource scarcity population dynamics

Questions to Reflect On

  • What alternative models could sustain scientific progress?
  • How can societies balance investment with realistic limits?
A Different Perspective

Assumes current trends stay constant; breakthroughs could alter trajectory.

3.5 out of 5 (6 ratings)

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