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Climate Quote by Daniel Yergin

“According to one study by the United States Geological survey, 86 percent of oil reserves in the United States are the result not of what is estimated at the time of discovery but of the revisions and additions that come with further development.” quote by Daniel Yergin
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“According to one study by the United States Geological survey, 86 percent of oil reserves in the United States are the result not of what is estimated at the time of discovery but of the revisions and additions that come with further development.”

Daniel Yergin

About This Quote

Source Book: The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power, 1990

Oil estimates grow mainly through later revisions, not initial discoveries.

In simple terms: Oil reserves increase after further study.

Key Takeaway

Expect later revisions to raise estimates.

Themes

energy economics resource management uncertainty

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

informative critical

When to use this quote

  • energy policy
  • investment decisions
  • government reporting

Key Concepts

geology risk analysis forecasting

Questions to Reflect On

  • How reliable are early resource forecasts?
  • What factors cause reserve revisions?
A Different Perspective

Initial estimates may be misleading without context.

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