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Car crash Quote by Daniel Gardner

“The safety gap is so large, in fact, that planes would still be safer than cars even if the threat of terrorism were unimaginably worse than it actually is: An American professor calculated that even if terrorists were hijacking and crashing one passenger jet a week in the United States, a person…” quote by Daniel Gardner
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““The safety gap is so large, in fact, that planes would still be safer than cars even if the threat of terrorism were unimaginably worse than it actually is: An American professor calculated that even if terrorists were hijacking and crashing one passenger jet a week in the United States, a person who took one flight a month for a year would have only a 1-in-135,000 chance of being killed in a hijacking--a trivial risk compared to the annual 1-in-6,000 odds of being killed in a car crash.””

Daniel Gardner

About This Quote

Source Article: The Atlantic, “The Safety Gap,” 2015

Even with extreme terrorism risk, flying remains far safer than driving.

In simple terms: Flying is statistically safer than driving.

Key Takeaway

Choose air travel over driving when possible.

Themes

risk assessment transportation safety statistics

Mood

cautious informative

Type

explanatory statistical

When to use this quote

  • travel planning
  • insurance decisions
  • public policy debates
  • personal safety choices

Key Concepts

probability theory risk perception

Questions to Reflect On

  • Do you overestimate rare dangers?
  • How do you evaluate everyday risks?
A Different Perspective

Rare events can skew perception of risk despite low probability.

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